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Rich Baris
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May 18 • 2 tweets • 1 min read
While we wait for PA, because that's all we can do, people down here in North Carolina think it's the real story of the night.

A former governor very popular with the base got completely blown away, may lose every single county.

Plus, GOP significantly outperformed in turnout.
The man has 6,269 followers on his personal Twitter account and about 45k on his official profile for the U.S. House, and yet he completely destroyed the once-clear favorite.

It's an incredibly impressive win.

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More from @Peoples_Pundit

Rich Baris
May 18
All the money and attention was on Pennsylvania. But I'm telling you, big story in North Carolina re: Republican turnout.

Just so everyone understands, NC is a semi-closed primary state and DEMs have a registration edge.

This large a disparity is a big freakin' deal.
Another big story tonight is how easily Fetterman blew Lamb away.

The latter is largely considered one of the last moderate Democrats, though on policy he really is not—it's just he's not a leftwing firebrand.

Yet a statewide race, Lamb couldn't raise base money, gain traction.
Breaking: In hiding, Sean Hannity decides it's probably safe to come back from "vacation" now.
Read 5 tweets
Rich Baris
May 18
Oz has now slashed it down to just over 0.25%. That's recall territory, but he's likely to take the lead with Delaware and Bucks.
Btw, even if/when Oz takes the lead, it's still hard to see how it doesn't end in recount territory. PA has an auto law on the books.
With total reporting hitting 90%, McCormick's lead falls to .14%, with just 1622 votes separating him from Oz.

Holy smokes, what a race.
Read 7 tweets
Rich Baris
May 16
1. That's America First right here👇, a candidate who also happens to be winning a percentage of the Hispanic vote no other GOP candidate has a prayer of winning other than him.

Observe via the only legitimate poll conducted in the following tweets in the forthcoming thread...
2. Again, this is the only legit conducted internal w/o an "informed ballot" push. We know B/C we have them.

First, let's take a look at the primary vote preference with leaners from last week.

Clearly note only one REP candidate has noteworthy support among Hispanic voters.
3. Now, let's look at the potential head-to-head matchups between the likely DEM candidate and the two top vote share REP candidates among ONLY Hispanic voters, comparing it to the Generic Ballot.

You can't carry a majority Hispanic district by earning 38% of the Hispanic vote.
Read 7 tweets
Rich Baris
May 5
As @JDVance1 should and no doubt the voters of Ohio want him to do.

Karl Rove is a grifter who cashes in even after he knows the race is lost. The guy is a dirtbag who serves no purpose in society other than enriching himself and the people Americans have been rejecting.
Remember when Karl Rove lost his mind on Election Night 2012 and @MegynKellyShow had to walk him over to the Decision Desk because he was too stupid to see @MittRomney lost?

Badly?

All B/C "the architect of the end of the GOP" was too stupid to read a census report on Franklin.
This idiot still thought he was looking at the Franklin County of 2004!

Honestly, folks. That's how stupid Karl Rove was and still is.

"The Architect".

Yeah, "The Architect of the End of the Republican Party Until Donald Trump Came Along".

That's his real name.
Read 5 tweets
Rich Baris
May 5
Republicans have some "real" candidates this time and could win seats they never even dreamed possible with this shift in the Hispanic vote and realignment.

But the Establishment and GOP donor class who owns them are holding them back.

They are their weak links.
You want a "for instance", look no further than @DavidGiglioCA. The man has been running a face-to-face campaign visiting traditional Democratic strongholds in a majority Hispanic district for a year.

No joke, ghettos.

The GOPe pushes a donor with no chance to win in November.
This no-chance donor candidate enriches Establishment consultants—same fake pollsters who told Mandel he was ahead, by the way—who have literally been plagiarizing David's campaign rhetoric and slogans in advertising.

It's pathetic and self-defeating.

Btw, get this...
Read 5 tweets
Rich Baris
May 4
If current trends hold, there are more counties that could flip from Mandel to Vance as more ED vote is counted, including Guernsey, Crawford, Wayne.
As for counties currently in the camp for @dolan4ohio, both Lake and Summit are threatening to slip away to @JDVance1 if those trends hold, with only 54 and 18 votes separating the two, respectively.
And there goes Guernsey. That one is now in the Vance column. Wayne improved for Mandel slightly.
Read 6 tweets

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