The snippet is here, you’ll have to rewind:

Baris elaborated on Twitter.

Of course, I meant "there's NOT much" Hobbs can do but watch their lead evaporate.

And, of course, I was right. Kari Lake is highly favored to win and she's going to win by several points.

Further, with the N=ballots outstanding and the margin, Blake Masters absolutely can win. https://t.co/9QyjXeXRmg

— Rich Baris "The People's Pundit" (@Peoples_Pundit) November 9, 2022

More numbers in this thread:

Breakdowns of the estimated margins @bgmasters needs to catch Kelly, given different base numbers of outstanding ballots left to count:

If 500,000 remain, 59%-41%
If 600,000 remain, 57.5%-42.5%
If 700,000 remain, 56.5%-43.5%
If 800,000 remain, 55.6%-44.4%

— Amalia C. Halikias (@AmaliaHalikias) November 9, 2022

Read the whole thread…