The example that most closely resembles what is happening now is 2014. The election “models” and polls have been underestimating GOP support each cycle, but 2014 is the last midterm in which predictive indicators clearly favored the GOP.
Trans activists have doxxed me, threatened to kill me, defamed me, and tried to silence me. Because of this reaction I've taken time to reflect and reconsider and I've now decided to triple down and be even more radical in my opposition to their agenda. Thanks for the motivation!