The Definitive Case Proving Donald Trump Won the Election
November 25, 2020 (10mo ago)

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If Joe Biden taking the lead in Michigan and Wisconsin was the moment the dynamic of the Presidential race changed, this may be the moment the dynamic changes again.

A thorough and damning new analysis just published calls the legitimacy of this critical period into question and shows just how completely ridiculous and far-fetched the core of Joe Biden’s comeback really was in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. It flags four individual vote dumps critical to Joe Biden’s “victory” in these states and shows, convincingly, that their ratios of Biden votes to Trump votes were profoundly anomalous when compared to other dumps in those states and virtually every other vote dump across the country.

The report is written in dry and academic language, filled with graphs, footnotes, and various hedges, but its implications could not be more obvious. Indeed, if the authors were less tepid, they might have fairly titled it:

Joe Biden’s Victory Was Not Legitimate. And Now We Can Prove it.

Because that’s exactly what the report does.  It looks at election data and shows what many would expect: the states and cities that had the most suspicious circumstances on election night and into the next day are precisely where the analysis flags extreme anomalies.

Summary and Background of the Report

It starts out with the background on Michigan and Wisconsin — the famous “vote spikes” that were plainly ridiculous and fundamentally changed both the electoral reality and the narrative. The report reminds us of the infamous vote spikes in Michigan and Wisconsin.  

Michigan

Wisconsin: 

The report is based on an analysis of the difference between successive updates in each state, each of which it calls “vote updates.”  In online discourse, these are often referred to as “vote dumps” or “vote batches.”

It examines them across states and, controlling for how big a state is and how Democratic it is, does the following:

  • Defines, mathematically, what a “vote spike” is
  • Shows just how rare those are
  • Shows how, during a five-hour period, four particularly extreme vote spikes arrived favoring Joe Biden
  • Shows how crucial these were to Joe Biden’s election in MI, WI, and GA
  • Most damningly, shows how Joe Biden likely would have lost these states — and the election —  were these only more “spiky” than 99% of all vote dumps

The report describes a measurement for showing the relationship between the number of votes Biden wins by (or loses by) in any given vote dump, and how well he did as a ratio of Trump’s votes in that vote dump, while controlling for size and political lean of a state. It thus normalizes the data across states, allowing for apples to apples comparisons. The key mathematical reason why these vote spikes are anomalous is that for every large vote dump heavily favoring Biden in any given area, you also would expect to have smaller vote dumps in the same area which favor him by similar margins. Quoting from the report:

The believability of these updates relies on the premise that the one or two most Biden-favoring parts of the state (perhaps by ballot type) were counted entirely in these two batches.  If it cannot be shown that the ballots counted during these spikes were qualitatively different from all other vote updates in Michigan, then the results are likely too extreme along multiple dimensions to be accepted at face value. [Vote Integrity]

It goes on to describe how the same logic applies for the other updates as well.  Large ballot dumps which heavily favor a candidate make sense, if there are also smaller ones which favor the candidate more.  The “standardization” process used by the researchers here takes care of that, and shows how points up and to the right of the graph are the more “co-extreme” vote dumps, in the language of the report:

That dotted black line at the top is the 99.5th percentile.  In other words, only one out of every two-hundred points are above it.  The four vote dumps in question are all at or above the 99.92th percentile. With these ratios, if they were at the 99th percentile only, they would each be dragged down to the middle of the three lines shown.  Critically, they account for more than the margin of victory in all three states, and thus forty-two electoral votes, and with them, the Presidency.

Making Sense of This

The analysis is incredibly dense but contains several key points, which American Patriots must remember in the coming days and weeks. The most important points are:

  1. Four of the seven most extreme vote dumps decided the election for Joe Biden.  This alone is bizarre and fundamentally cuts against his narrative of moderate increases in suburban and exurban areas.  Moreover, the distribution is “heavy-tailed” and these vote dumps are vastly more “co-extreme” than even the points around the 99.5th percentile (the dotted black line in the graph above).  
  2. These four vote dumps were quantifiably far more extreme than virtually every other vote dump, with only a few others as extreme in their aberration from the inverse pattern observed elsewhere.
  3. The odds of these three states (GA, WI, MI) being so well-represented at the top of the distribution is just over 1%.  And when you factor in that a vote dump in GA is the 9th most extreme point, the odds that these three states have five of the top ten most extreme vote dumps drop to less than 1%.  Clearly, there’s something different about these states than others, including other blue states, or even other Midwestern states where a deep-blue urban population offsets the red rest of the state (e.g. Illinois, Minnesota), or states like Colorado, Texas, or Oregon, where the urban areas are also vastly more Democratic than the rest of the state.
  4. These vote spikes all occurred in the same five-hour period.  Wisconsin and Michigan both spent around eighteen hours counting votes, and the count took several days in Georgia. We have since learned that the “pipe burst” story in deep-blue Georgia was never in fact true.
  5. This five hour period remains a period of great controversy surrounding how the vote counting was “stopped.”  Recently, we learned that the story of a “pipe bursting” in Georgia was in fact not true.  Combine that with the results shown in this piece, and an obvious picture comes into view: In all three states, the count was “stopped” to give cover for electoral fraud on the scale of hundreds of thousands of votes which were released in the middle of the night, hoping few would notice.

The burden of proof is now on Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, the Democratic party, and their various urban machine operatives to defend these results as legitimate.  The on-the-ground circumstances in these states had been suspicious for weeks and warranted investigation in their own right.  We now have the math to confirm our suspicions.  This report, in winding sentences and hedged language, lays it bare for all of us to see: Joe Biden’s election “victory” relied on a fraudulent counting process in the dead of night.

The media has no interest in covering this, and indeed are trying actively to suppress it.  An attempt to Google search for “precincts that stopped the count” makes this clear.  The steal of this election, perpetrated in the middle of the night in several states, was allowed to happen only because of the extraordinary assistance given to the Democrats by Big Media and Big Tech.  Nonetheless, thanks to what appears to be an anonymous group of researchers, we can definitively state what we knew all along:

President Donald J. Trump is the legitimate winner of this election. Republican state legislators in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia must refuse to seat electors for Joe Biden until a complete forensic audit has been conducted.

Never give up.  Never back down.  And never concede.

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Jilli
9 months ago

Looks convincing to me! The minute I heard about that pipe supposedly bursting I thought "Oh, how convenient! Trump was winning and now a broken pipe! I wasn't born yesterday, you know!" LOL

Guest
9 months ago

Which broken pipe turned out to be a leaky toilet in some far flung corner of the building that in no way affected the ballot counting area.

bendwnbe4
9 months ago

Flat out lie.

Guest
9 months ago

CNN much?

Guest
9 months ago

False. It was said on most of the news sources in which I tune in, that they stopped counting due to a "burst pipe"

Guest
9 months ago

"Lucy…you have some 'splaining to do!"

Guest
9 months ago

Why didn't Trump or any other republican take any meaningful steps to secure elections in the aftermath of the 2016 election. This was obviously going to be a problem and he did nothing.

Guest
9 months ago

He did, just be patient!! its all coming out!

Guest
9 months ago

No, he did not.. unfortunately Trump will not be president because the machine had won. There is no way on earth that a candidate that spent the last 9 months in the basement received more votes than any candidate in American history, no way..

Guest
9 months ago

He did. He allowed it to happen, watched it happen, and recorded it happening with the help of your military. It was a matter of national security during a time of national emergency.

Guest
9 months ago

It’s not surprising at all. Trump is almost equally the most loved and most hated President of all time. I’m surprised he didn’t lose by more.

Guest
9 months ago

He didn't lose. Your TV is wrong.

Guest
9 months ago

Oh really? And what high official told you? Q? Trust the plan!

Guest
9 months ago

As the late, great Paul Harvey would say…
STAND BY FOR NEWS!

Guest
9 months ago

Oh no. He did everything on his power. But people like you accused him of whining for no reason. Nail them.

Guest
9 months ago

If he did everything in his power this election wouldn't have been stolen. I never accused him of whining. I do accuse him of being a puppet of the shadow govt. albeit a puppet who goes slightly rogue once in a while which is why they wanted to replace him with a more compliant puppet.

Guest
9 months ago

What he did was let them hang themselves! They got caught and better pay big time! What better than than? Saying it will happen isn’t proof. But NOW he has plenty. Smart move. Sit still and let them do their dirty work. Busted! If he jumped too soon no one would have been caught. He HAD to let it go all the way. Or it would just be him SAYING it. Now it’s TRUE! 👍🏻😊

Guest
9 months ago

Is he supposed to work on the economy, the wall/illegal immigration, foreign policy, peace in the Middle East AND try to anticipate what you crazies are going to do next?
You got caught stealing everyones votes. Now, we have YOUR mess to clean up…AGAIN!

Guest
9 months ago

Economy: rich massively richer than ever middle and working classes being crushed
Wall: the 40 or so miles of new wall can be cut through with a hacksaw
Immigration: both illegal and legal were worse than ever until corona
Peace in the middle east (for our greatest ally): wow, talk about MAGA

For any one real, meaningful win he got I'll give you 10 epic fails. Perhaps most importantly election security and/ internet censorship.

Guest
9 months ago

Sorry, you can't fight truth with lies. MAGA.

Guest
9 months ago

You can lie all you want, but in the end, it's still a lie.

Guest
9 months ago

He did, did you think all those pre positioned pollwatchers, lawyers and forensic experts was accidental?

Tick Tock
9 months ago

So what are the American people going to do about our Seditious and Anti-American News Media and Big Tech? It seems without a doubt they are the mouthpieces and enforcers of the Deep State. Do we arrest the executives and charge them with crimes? These Corporations have to be brought back to be under the control of the US Citizens. This means that they cannot censor anything, which is how I feel. If you find it offensive, do not look at it or read it. Not an easy thing to regulate but it needs regulation. We need modern day Jefferson's and Hamilton's and the rest of the true geniuses that wrote the Constitution and I am afraid we have none, just the empty shells and shills of our current political crop. President Trump has really impressed me because he can see what needs to be done but it is nearly impossible to find someone capable to do it. Yes what do we do?

Guest
9 months ago

I thought about the same thing. These low life planning and executing this fraud are not that smart. Problem is the media and big tech covering for them. This time we got lucky folks. Just calling this people for hearings is not enough. Big tech and media need to be nailed.

Guest
9 months ago

Yes! If the right result obtains and President Trump has another 4 years it is imperative to prosecute the big tech folks and MSM execs. I'd start with Mr. Dorsey who most recently censored on the record comments made by a Georgia state senator. If they steal this election, the people will need to hold the Dorseys, Zuckerbergs and billionaires who own the MSM accountable or the Republic will be lost.

Guest
9 months ago

You need to consider prosecution of internationally-based executives of guilty companies. For instance, executives based in New Zealand. Might seem a long way away but we'd have 10s of thousands of USA voters in NZ . All are influenced by big tech, big media and our big govt propaganda.

Guest
9 months ago

You're absolutely right, Tick Tock and after the inauguration of Trump for his 2nd term, I hope he will consider crafting a new "Fairness Doctrine" that would apply to ALL MEDIA not just Broadcast. Not sure if he could do it as an E.O. but the FCC does fall under the Exec branch.
Under this new Fairness Doctrine, media outlets could express their ownership/management opinions, but they would be required to present equal time for opposing viewpoints. And opinion content would require a clear label or distinction.
It's the best way I know to fix this and get news media back to actually covering news without the spin or opinion we constantly see today from the MSM.

Guest
9 months ago

Not Hamilton, please. The first guy responsible for the first national bank, used for his corruption and of his ilk. Better Andrew Jackson, who loudly vetoed the cental bank legislation, telling the rich bankers, Ye are a den of vipers and thieves, and by the Almighty God, I will root you out!

Guest
9 months ago

Preach it, hypocrite.

Guest
9 months ago

You have to admit that Hamilton is a mixed bag-brilliant in certain areas and severely lacking in others.

Guest
9 months ago

The media and big tech are enemies of the American people, traitors, and should be teated as such.

Guest
9 months ago

What can YOU ? #1 sitting around anonymous labeling everyone "empty shill" IS being an empty shill. There are a lot of strong people risking alot in their fight > Jim Jordan, or gov of SD, many. You could run for political office, you could work go to school board meetings, you could go stand across the street from a baby slaughter factory and pray, or even right now you could pray to Almighty for this nation. Listen I'm a powerless wage earner but I'm not gonna passively sigh and say I can't do anything.

ellbee
9 months ago

you are not powerless. The 2nd American Revolution needs the Devine Providence and determined Founders that the first one had. I know their out their…just don't know who/where they are yet.

Guest
9 months ago

No matter what state you may live in, tnm.me needs people and have been going since the mid 90s. They have over 400,000 members and are no longer taboo. There are enough to outnumber Democrats and Republicans in Texas and move #texit forward. The push for a referendum in 2016 only failed by two votes in Austin, so there will be no failure this time around. For the rest of the country, good luck.

Guest
9 months ago

"These Corporations have to be brought back to be under the control of the US Citizens."

The truly ironic thing is that you have just perfectly described the fundamental tenant of socialism, and are actively demanding it.

Guest
9 months ago

Iglint: you've got it wrong. You must have never read a real book on socialism. Maybe you read something recent by a liberal progressive trying to blindly push socialism as a good thing. But nothing serious about what it really is.

The tenant of socialism is state controlled media as demonstrated by the major mainstream stations headquartered in Democrat run cities. Democrats are already socialist in their influence of media. In order to control the entire working class, one must control the media under socialist rule.

What Tick Tock is saying is right and very American and Constitutional. TT never said the media should be run by government. The first amendment was designed to protect the freedom of press to share information that makes the citizen aware of what's happening without fear of government "retaliation."

Writing anything against Democrat's at a mainstream media company will get you ostracized. Supporting the conservative view at an information gatekeeper like FB can get you fired.

It was once a tool of the citizens. But today, when it becomes nothing but a powerful political propaganda machine for one party, as it has been for the socialist left, that is when it becomes dangerous.

Citizens do need to regain "control" of the media in the sense that it is currently run by Democratic states. The Democrat influenced press no longer reveals the "journalistic due diligence" of the journalists that informed its citizens of the past.

Good awareness Tick Tock.

Guest
9 months ago

It's not about socialism, dude, it's about Globalism.
The state is a vehicle. Nothing more. Nothing less.
Do you know what nationalism and nationhood entails? It means citizens and businesses and a state working for the same national interest. Call it socialism, call it state capitalism, call it populism – who cares. Just get the globalists out of the state and out of the domestic market!

Guest
9 months ago

You make good sense, yet I think you're going a little easy on the social and mainstream media overlords who have been co-conspirators and enablers of a criminal coup d'etat against the elected president/government of the United States. They must all be charged and face courts of law for treason. I know of no other way to describe what they've done. They're all ensnared in Trump's executive order signed into existence on September 12, 2018, entitled, “Executive Order on Imposing Certain Sanctions in the Event of Foreign Interference in a United States Election.” Go check it out.

Henry Redbird
9 months ago

Yeah, it was obviously stolen. We knew that the minute they stopped counting votes.

Guest
9 months ago

The crazy thing is not even the dominion voting algo was going to be enough lol. So they panicked and went to plan B. Dumping a ton of phony ballots into the system. Crazy. They must have been frantically printing these out like crazy and had all kinds of names ready to use. This is nuts. It cant stand.

Guest
9 months ago

My thoughts exactly. We're seeing the results of Plan B. Plan A exists but they're probably tried to erase it from the software. All the voting machines in these states need to be collected and secured under armed guard, along with any surviving paper ballots. Some people who were there said the "dump ballots" looked and felt different, as in a different grade of paper.

Guest
9 months ago

That's the funniest part of this whole tragedy. The dems didn't expect Trump to be that popular with the people and they got sloppy. One common denominator of all liars is that they can never keep their story straight. It's coming out now..

Henry Redbird
9 months ago

Trump or Secession.

Guest
9 months ago

Need I remind you that the last time secession was attempted the south had a can o' whoopass opened on them?

Guest
9 months ago

You don't need to remind me. Need I remind you which party won that?

Guest
9 months ago

We use paper ballots in wi, they are just now wrapping up a hand count. Where was this electronic dump done? If the hand count doesn't differ nothing is going to change. Yes they cheated, they always do and they always get away with it . Its no coincidence that scott walker lost the governor's race by the same amount of votes. In our state they cheat by using non-existent voters which the courts have continued to deny us removing from the active voters lists.

Guest
9 months ago

Take care of the judges.

Guest
9 months ago

Smarmy dem judges, why hasn’t it been appealed?
Fungus dies in the sunlight.

Ibeanta_Darwin
9 months ago

Rudy explained the mail in ballots. You have to examine the outer envelope, open the envelope, examine the ballot. Once the outer envelope is separated from the inner one, the accountability is gone. That is how hundreds of thousands of ballots can be dis carded. In person, absentee and verified mail in ballots will be allowed to stand. Wanna bet Trump wins?

Guest
9 months ago

WI is different. The voter needs to solicit (by mail) a ballot from the county clerk. The voter is put on a list and then sent an absentee ballot. If the voter of the mailed-in ballot is not on that original list the ballot is invalid and maybe contested. This is in the WI constitution. The current recount has thousands and thousands of these contested ballots. So many, that the democrat poll workers complained that all the mail-in ballots are being contested. There will be legal challenges by both sides over this. The WI supreme court (4 to 3 conservative advantage) will eventually rule. And like they did before, will rule that these contested ballots don't abide by the WI constitution and are invalid, giving Trump a win.

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