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Across Europe Deaths Are Far Higher Now Than They Were in the ‘Pandemic Years’ of 2020 and 2021

by Nick Rendell
5 July 2023 9:00 AM

In the year from week ending June 5th 2022 to week ending June 4th 2023 the U.K. recorded 1,059 excess death per million people. The odd thing about this is that excess deaths in the U.K. in 2023 are higher than the excess deaths in the same period in 2020-21 in 13 of the 27 EU nations!

If the people of Austria, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands and Sweden were so worried about the likelihood of dying that they acquiesced in locking themselves up, voluntarily trashed their economies and stopped their kids going to school back in 2020-21 (well, Sweden didn’t, but the rest did), why don’t we feel the need to do the same now? We have more excess deaths now than they had then.

If YouGov did a poll tomorrow asking whether or not we should, right now, go back into lockdown, how many thumbs up would it receive? Very few, I should hope. But if U.K. citizens don’t think it’s a good idea now, why did the Germans or the Finns or the Greeks think it was a good idea in 2020 and 2021? Could it be that they were manipulated? That they weren’t given the whole picture? That they were ‘had’?

Let’s try and put some perspective on this number. We can think of 1,059 excess deaths per 1,000,000 of population in several ways. As a straight percentage let’s round it down to 0.1%. This means that we expect 0.1% of the population to die in addition to the number of people we might ordinarily expect to die in the year. Or, if you prefer, an additional one person in a 1,000 will die in the year.

In the U.K. roughly one person in 100 dies every year, i.e., 1% of the population. But if we’re experiencing excess deaths at a level of 0.1% then we can expect that about 1.1% of the population will die this year. Let’s take the example of a large town or small city with 100,000 inhabitants. In a normal year we’d expect 1,000 deaths. With this year’s higher level of excess deaths, the funeral directors would expect to see 1,100 deaths. That’s all very straightforward.

In case you’d forgotten, let’s remind ourselves that the period from April 5th 2020 to April 4th 2021 included the two big spikes in fatality in Spring 2020 and winter 2020-21. It’s also the period that ended before the vaccine rollout was in any way complete. While about 50% of the U.K. population had received one dose of vaccine by then, in the EU the figure was only about 20%. This period was very much the year when we would have expected to see peak ‘all-cause’ pandemic excess deaths in the U.K. and across Europe with very little amelioration from vaccines or prior infection.

Figure 1

Figure 1 shows all-cause excess deaths across the EU for the period April 4th 2020 to April 5th 2021. I’ve overlaid the Our World in Data chart with a thick red line representing U.K. all-cause excess deaths from June 5th 2022 to June 4th 2023. You can see that U.K. deaths in 2022-23 would have ranked ‘mid-table’ among EU countries in 2020-21.

What to make of this? It prompts a few questions that surely the Hallett Inquiry should ask. Such as: “If there are more excess deaths per head of population in the U.K. now than in half of the EU in 2020-21, were the Europeans mad to lockdown then, or are we mad not to lockdown now?” Or: “Given that, with the honourable exception of Sweden, all these countries broadly followed the same set of policies, do the Bulgarians, with about 3,500 per million excess deaths and Denmark with below average excess deaths, both consider that lockdown was a valuable tool?” If lockdown was so effective, why were deaths in Bulgaria so high? If the pandemic was so deadly, why were they so low in Denmark?

But the fun doesn’t end there. Figure 2 picks out the U.K. and 13 EU countries with excess all-cause deaths in the 12 months to April 2023 (the latest date for which figure were available for all countries) greater than 750 per million. Back in 2020-21 this level of excess deaths would have put you mid-table in the EU excess death league. Clearly, in 2020-21 it was considered essential to lock down populations with these modest levels of excess death (or indeed, lower).

Figure 2

In figure 2 all-cause excess deaths for the 12 months to April 4th 2021 are indicated by the blue bar and for the 12 months to March 26th 2023 by the orange bar. In eight of the countries – Germany, Finland, Austria, Latvia, Greece, Estonia, Netherlands and Ireland – excess deaths in 2022-23 have been higher than in 2020-21. In Germany for example, excess deaths in 2022-23 have been four times higher than in 2020/21. In Finland in 2020-21 fewer people than normal died, while now they have excess deaths that would have placed them in the top half of the EU death league back in 2020-21. Ireland and Greece have almost twice the level of excess deaths in 2022-23 that they had in 2020-21.

Just for fun, put yourself for a moment in the shoes of the German, Austrian or Irish equivalent of Lady Hallett. How would you, with a straight face, justify to your fellow countrymen spending several hundred million euros looking into the awful events of the ‘once in a century’ 2020-21 pandemic, when death supposedly stalked the land, resulting in excess deaths far lower than they are now?

Tags: All-Cause MortalityCOVID-19EuropeExcess deathsLockdownPandemicVaccine

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38 Comments
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AllMouthAndTrousers
AllMouthAndTrousers
2 years ago

The excess deaths are caused by the vaccine. Occam’s razor.

172
0
True Spirit of America Party
True Spirit of America Party
2 years ago
Reply to  AllMouthAndTrousers

Indeed. To argue otherwise is Occam’s Butterknife.

0
0
Will L
Will L
2 years ago

Well stab me with a needle.. who’d have thought that eh!

125
0
Will L
Will L
2 years ago
Reply to  Will L

Whatever it is.. its obviously catching.. NZ was so protected by its saviour too.. what could it be.. ???

Screenshot_2023-06-21 PEOPLE DYING NZ UK.PNG
37
0
MikeAustin
MikeAustin
2 years ago
Reply to  Will L

Well, what a coincidence! -12%!
According to yesterday’s ONS data and data for 2010-2019, England and Wales is 12.4% more than expected.
Now there’s synchronicity for you. The globalists are in lockstep. I can almost here the tramping of internazi jackboots!

24
0
Steven Robinson
Steven Robinson
2 years ago

What a crazy article. Why don’t we feel the need to lockdown now? Because in 2020 and 2021 the perception was that excess deaths were being caused by an identifiable virus. In 2020-23 there is no agreement as to what is causing the excess deaths, only agreement that whatever it is, it is not a virus. Lockdown therefore could not possibly be the solution.

37
-18
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 years ago
Reply to  Steven Robinson

It’s either the vaxx or Covid. Either way we’ve been lied to. Why couldn’t it be Covid? What explanation do the authorities have for it not being Covid? They simply stopped looking for it and counting it. The whole thing has been political theatre. So I think the question is perfectly legitimate.

72
-17
godknowsimgood
godknowsimgood
2 years ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

The various ill-effects of lockdowns could very well be contributing to the excess deaths.

58
-7
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 years ago
Reply to  godknowsimgood

Yes that has muddied the waters

28
-2
AllMouthAndTrousers
AllMouthAndTrousers
2 years ago
Reply to  godknowsimgood

That’s a meaningless statement. Poor footwear undoubtedly contributes to accidental deaths, no-one mentions it because it is negligable unless you can show otherwise.

12
-12
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 years ago
Reply to  AllMouthAndTrousers

It’s very hard to “show” anything definitively because there appears to have been a deliberate effort to hide or not collect relevant data. What has changed since before “covid” – I’m thinking about major stuff that could explain the deaths? 1) “Vaccines” 2) “Covid” 3) Lockdowns.

27
0
Jabba the Hut
Jabba the Hut
2 years ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Not sure about down ticks for tof, if it is covid then the experimentle gene therapies have been a complete and utter fail or as most of us believe the cure has been far worse than the disease. Excess deaths have been used as a metric to instill fear and now are blithely ignored to suite the agenda.

50
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 years ago
Reply to  Jabba the Hut

Thanks- that was indeed my point.
FWIW I think the evidence points to it being mainly the “vaccines”.

40
0
Alan
Alan
2 years ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

No, it is always wrong to assume that there can only be two possible causes that suit the argument being made.

1
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 years ago
Reply to  Alan

It’s impossible to say with any certainty given the lack of reliable data (deliberate) and the complexity of the system being examined. All we can do is look at the most obvious causes – what has changed since “covid”.

2
0
True Spirit of America Party
True Spirit of America Party
2 years ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Garbage in, garbage out. But the most likely cause is the jabs, per Occam’s Razor.

2
0
DevonBlueBoy
DevonBlueBoy
2 years ago
Reply to  Steven Robinson

If lockdown is a solution then you haven’t understood the problem

11
0
True Spirit of America Party
True Spirit of America Party
2 years ago
Reply to  Steven Robinson

It is so obviously the jabs causing it. Occam, meet razor.

2
0
ebygum
ebygum
2 years ago

…and there’s the rub…they will never have to answer these questions or justify their spending, straight-faced or not..because the same people who profited from the scam,
or at least didn’t suffer from it..are the same people ‘investigating’ it….and the scum MSM will report as directed….and the sheep will sleep on….

I know I am not alone when I ponder how so many people were taken in by the nonsense..and how many still are (4 million Spring boosters..plus the ‘believers’..like the medics giving them out and the families backing up this tripe…) plus the still heavily invested Pharma companies and their ‘shills’ and the myriad ‘misinformation groups’ who have by no means given up….

125
0
AllMouthAndTrousers
AllMouthAndTrousers
2 years ago
Reply to  ebygum

Because they get all their information from the BBC and other mainstream media. I was talking to someone the other day who spent months making programmes in the South Wales coalfield but didn’t know Tony Benn closed far more pits than Thatcher did. Why? Because his “research” didn’t involve actually checking the data.

47
0
Dan Vesty
Dan Vesty
2 years ago
Reply to  ebygum

You’re not alone in your pondering. I’ve almost given up trying to communicate with people who haven’t joined the dots on what’s really happened over the last three years – it’s like trying to de-programme people who’ve been caught up in a religious cult…

37
0
MikeAustin
MikeAustin
2 years ago

Yes, this agrees with my sums. In addition, my sums show that this year’s excess deaths exceed the maximum of 2010-2019 whereas the previous two years only exceeded the average
Note that 2020-2021 is greater than 2021-2022 because it includes the jab manslaughter in Jan-Feb 2021. Also, the hoax pandemic had finished by June 2020 anyway.

ONS-WeeklyDeathTotals-230704f.jpg
Last edited 2 years ago by MikeAustin
60
0
greggsy01
greggsy01
2 years ago

Haven’t the MSM and all sorts of experts explained why we see this excess, non-Covid mortality? It’s due to the climate thingy. It’s either too cold, or too hot, or too wet, or too dry. Details don’t matter, now clear off and support the next current thing you’ve been told.

103
0
disgruntled246
disgruntled246
2 years ago
Reply to  greggsy01

I think you’ll find that transphobia is the cause. Even if the dead person was cis. Get with the programme.

57
0
soundofreason
soundofreason
2 years ago
Reply to  disgruntled246

My word! I didn’t know we could die of being transphobic! We’re in far greater danger than I thought.

34
0
DevonBlueBoy
DevonBlueBoy
2 years ago
Reply to  disgruntled246

What’s with this constant reference to cis? What about bro?

Last edited 2 years ago by DevonBlueBoy
9
0
soundofreason
soundofreason
2 years ago

Excess deaths compared to what?

  • Last year?
  • The moving 5 year average?
  • The moving 5-year average but ignoring a bit where we don’t like the look of the data?
  • The moving 5-year average but ignoring another bit where we don’t like the look of the data?
  • The 10 year trend?
  • The 100 year trend?
5
-20
MikeAustin
MikeAustin
2 years ago
Reply to  soundofreason

In my case, the average of 2010-2019 corrected to 2019 population levels. All official ONS data. This is before any of the hoax pandemic nonsense. See below.

Last edited 2 years ago by MikeAustin
28
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 years ago
Reply to  soundofreason

I agree that choosing a baseline to compare to is somewhat arbitrary, but that doesn’t mean that it’s invalid. 5 years does seem a bit short, so maybe better to look at a longer timeframe as well, for context and to see how much fluctuation there has been historically.

8
0
MikeAustin
MikeAustin
2 years ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Then this is the chart you need to see, with ave/min/max over 2010-2019. Furthermore, these are the maxima in each individual week. Summing up the maxima is thus not an actual year’s maximum. We are greater than 2.6% above a year of maxima, not 2.7% above an actual maximum year.

new-2.jpg
13
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 years ago
Reply to  MikeAustin

Thanks

3
0
Godfree Roberts
Godfree Roberts
2 years ago

Focusing on pet peeves, whether lockdowns, masks, or social distancing – effective tools when rightly used – misses the overall point that Western governments do not handle epidemics well, and never have.
The Black Death never gained a foothold in China because China has always had the world’s best public health (except when we ruled it).

1
-35
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 years ago
Reply to  Godfree Roberts

Are you seriously describing lockdowns, masks and social distancing as “pet peeves”?

What “epidemic” are you referring to?

27
0
True Spirit of America Party
True Spirit of America Party
2 years ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

He sounds like a troll, lol.

0
0
True Spirit of America Party
True Spirit of America Party
2 years ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

And the bubonic plague did get a foothold in China, even if not quite as much and not at the same time as the West.

0
0
Jabby Mcstiff
Jabby Mcstiff
2 years ago

I don’t find it surprising at all. I knew several people who have died unexpectedly recently. I listened to a rabbi saying that Hashem has taken these people prematurely so that they do not have to face the horror to come. And looking at those who died I can begin to comprehend this. The future predicament is much darker. Like the Apocalypse of John – ‘And in those days shall men seek death, and shall desire to die, and death shall flee from them’. This force will extract until the point of exhaustion or collapse. It might nurse you back to life just to deplete you again. I think we need to reach a deeper understanding of death in our age,.

8
0
DevonBlueBoy
DevonBlueBoy
2 years ago

How can they keep a straight face? It saves them laughing at the obscene amounts of taxpayers’ money they’re trousering.

7
0
Alan
Alan
2 years ago

Isn’t this article doing exactly the same as climate alarmist do with temperature forecasts? The chose a starting point which shows what they want to prove. What happens if you start with the years 2000?

0
-1

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